news archive


How have expectations of monetary policy change impacted hedging costs?

Following last week’s FOMC meeting, the committee elected to keep the Fed funds target rate unchanged at 1-1.25%. The outcome was widely expected and hence there was no significant change in the markets. The accompanying statement included a number of […]



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The Central Bank Tightening Party: Who Will Be Next To Join?

The Fed has been hosting the tightening party since December 2015, but has been very lonely.  A couple of weeks ago, Stephen Poloz and the Bank of Canada showed up with their own 25bp hike.  Other central banks seem to […]



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What does faster growth mean for currencies?

Markets have welcomed the news overnight that China’s economy grew 6.9% on an annualised basis during the second quarter. Although Japanese markets were closed, the Hang Seng finished the session +0.31% and commodities (primarily zinc and iron ore) posted solid […]



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Will the central banks really risk tightening monetary policy?

Over the last couple of weeks, the market has switched its attention from political uncertainty across the globe to the prospect of tighter monetary policy from some of the World’s major central banks. Policy makers from the Federal Reserve, Bank […]



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Central Bank Comments Change the Landscape

Last week may prove to be the point at which we look back and pinpoint where Central Banks around the world decided the time for zero interest rate policy (ZIRP) must end (excluding the US who have already moved away […]



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Is a change in the BoE’s stance good news for the pound?

During its last rate-setting meeting on the 15th of July, the Bank of England saw 3 out of its 8 members vote in favour of a rate hike. Even though most members were in favour of keeping rates unchanged, the […]



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Could Theresa May’s gamble sink sterling?

Last week’s election result in the UK was the latest in a long line of political earthquakes that have shaken financial markets over the last 12 months.  Theresa May’s attempt to stabilize the UK political landscape prior to commencing Brexit […]



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UK General Election 2017

This week sees the UK public going to the polls for the third time in two years following the EU referendum last year and the last general election back in 2015. Both the previous two events resulted in surprising outcomes […]



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Where Does Oil Go From Here ?

OPEC met last week and the market was eagerly anticipating an announcement on further cuts to production. In the end they announced instead that the current production caps have been extended to March 2018, with no change in quantum. The […]



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What’s next for the Fed?

When the FOMC decided to leave rates on hold earlier this month, Yellen cited slowing growth in the first quarter of 2017 as “transitionary” leaving the market with the belief that tighter policy will be forthcoming in the months ahead […]



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