news archive


When will the Bank of England hike?

Last week saw sterling endure a rollercoaster week, rallying to a high of $1.4050 on Thursday before tumbling back to a low of $1.3760 on Friday. Given the recent volatility in financial markets (including equities, rates and commodities) three cents […]



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Is risk appetite waning?

We look at three charts which show that the long period of calm in the financial markets may be under threat.    Tranquillity was the defining feature of financial markets in 2017.  Equity markets were buoyant, fixed income markets began […]



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Trade Trumped: A War on the Horizon?

Last week at the Davos conference, Trump’s Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross stated:  “Trade wars are fought every single day… So a trade war has been in place for quite a little while, the difference is the U.S. troops are now […]



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What now for the dollar?

Three weeks into the new year and we’ve already reached our Q1 targets for both sterling and the euro against the dollar. Bearish momentum throughout the latter stages of 2017 has continued to drive the dollar lower leaving the trade […]



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What can we expect from 2018?

This week, we look ahead at 2018 and discuss what we expect to be the key drivers in the currency markets. We also take the opportunity to update our forecasts for the next twelve months with particular focus on the […]



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A look back at 2017

  After another year dominated by political uncertainty in Europe and changes in monetary policy across the globe, we shouldn’t be too surprised that the currency markets look very different to how they did this time last year. In traditional […]



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FX Volatility: Gone but not forgotten…

FX volatility has been remarkably compressed during the second half of 2017; however there are a number of signs that these placid conditions may be about to change…   Twas the night before Christmas And all through the house Not […]



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Sterling Continues to Dance to the Brexit Beat

The last 7 days have been critical in the process of Brexit negotiations, as agreement on the three key ‘divorce issues’ has progressed sufficiently for all parties to agree to continue to the next phase of the negotiations.  However, as […]



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German Politics and the Euro

The euro’s rally is looking stretched – will Germany’s uncertain political outlook be the catalyst for a reversal?     The stability of the euro is built upon a foundation of German political stability.  Membership of the single currency includes […]



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Tax Reform and the Federal Reserve

One of the cornerstones of a functioning Central Bank is that it remains independent from the government, and therefore shielded from short-term political influence whilst pursuing their mandate of ensuring price stability.  While the Federal Reserve is independent of Trump’s […]



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