news archive

Decompressing Volatility in the FX Markets

Over the past months the “reign” of the US dollar has become increasingly prominent as the wedge between the economic outlook and monetary policy of the US and the rest of the world is driven deeper. Although there was no […]

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ECB: Doing “whatever it takes” in practice…

Last Thursday Mario Draghi the Chairman of the ECB announced a long awaited quantitative easing programme in the Eurozone. Speculatively, in order to test the market reaction and prepare investors the ECB leaked the board proposal for QE amounting to […]

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Three Takeaways from the Swiss Surprise

  I happened to be standing on an FX trading floor in the City of London on Thursday morning, when the Swiss National Bank (SNB) shocked the financial markets, removing the euro-franc floor and pushing Swiss interest rates further into […]

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2015 Currency Outlook

EURUSD – ‘Great Meta-Expectations’   “Mass psychology really is the key to determine price action, at the end of the day.” Anonymous Foreign Exchange Trader Quoted in the “The Psychology of the Foreign Exchange Market” Thomas Oberlechner, 2004   EURUSD […]

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Five Trends to Watch in 2015

  Divergence   To diverge (definition):   1. To move, lie or extend in different directions from a common point; branch off. 2. To turn aside or deviate, as from a path, practice, or plan.     ‘Divergence’ has become […]

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A Look Back at 2014…

“The bulls are like the giraffe, which is scared by nothing or like the magician…who in his mirror made the ladies appear much more beautiful than they are in reality.  They love everything; they praise everything; they exaggerate everything.   […]

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ECB Monetary Policy Outlook in 2015

The Chairman of the ECB Mario Draghi’s continuous dovish sentiment and strategy to “talk down the euro” is running out of steam, knowing that there will come the time when he will have to act in order to convince the […]

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Falling Oil Prices and Currency Movements – Cause or Effect?

The key to understanding the implications of the falling oil price on financial markets is to figure out whether low energy prices can stimulate improved economic productivity, or whether they simply reflect a sluggish picture of global economic growth…   […]

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This week we take a closer look at how expectations for relative monetary policy are keeping the dollar firm against its peers

After a relatively quiet start to last week, the People’s Bank of China grabbed the headlines on Friday by announcing a surprise 40 basis point cut to its benchmark lending rate. The move comes after the world’s second largest economy […]

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Is this the most important chart in the world?

“The chart of the US dollar is by far and away the most important chart on earth.  If we break the trend line we will be entering potentially one of the biggest dollar bull markets in decades, if not ever.  […]

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