news archive


Is debt really a solution or is it part of the wider problem?

As Trump’s trade war with China takes a resurgence in the news cycle, this serves as an opportunity for us to take a closer look into the debt crisis within China, and its subsequent impact it has on the global […]



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Where now for Sterling?

As is often the case with financial markets, the last couple of weeks have been a classic case of buy the rumour, sell the fact. Two weeks ago, sterling was trading just above $1.30, up almost 3% from the previous […]



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Petrocurrencies Hit An Oil Slick

Back in early October of this year, all of the headlines were espousing oil and predicting a sustained rally in the slippery commodity.  Virtually no one in the oil market expected to see the 21% decline in oil prices that […]



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Bank of England’s Hawkish Brexit Hold

With Brexit looming, it came as no surprise to anyone that the Bank of England unanimously left its main lending rate unchanged at 0.75% last week; the bank also maintained quantitative easing at £435bn. With the headline figures from “Super […]



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Currencies remain stable despite equity market downturn

Last week saw global equity markets continue their recent slide amid political uncertainty and the ongoing threat of tighter monetary policy from Central Banks across the globe. The Nikkei led the way with a 5.6% drop, closely followed by the […]



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Trump and the Fed: Do the President’s Comments Matter?

In recent weeks, Trump has criticized the US Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, and their guidance which indicates that further rate hikes are in the pipeline.  Past presidents have avoided commenting on the Fed publicly, as it might be seen as […]



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With the US Equity Markets in Turmoil, What Should One Do with Currency Risk?

Market focus over the past couple of weeks has been on equity markets, as the US equities have experienced almost an 8% decline since the first week of October.  Pundits around the world have been warning of an impending equity […]



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“Moves” in Hedging Cost going into Q4 2018

With summer now arguably behind us, the countdown towards the end of 2018 has begun with banks beginning to prepare to minimize their balance sheet allocations on December 31st (largely for regulatory reporting purposes); tighter dollar liquidity/supply and demand for […]



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Fed hikes and retains hawkish bias

As widely expected, the Federal Reserve raised the target range for the Fed Fund rate from 1.75% – 2.0% to 2.0% – 2.25% following last week’s FOMC meeting. It means that the Fed has now hiked rates three times in […]



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Brexit Scenario Planning

About a month ago, I looked at the likelihood, and expected FX impact, of the three main Brexit scenarios, as summarized below:       Following a tumultuous week for Brexit, which began with the EU’s brutal elimination of Theresa […]



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