news archive

The Fed’s Dilemma

If there is one thing that is certain about the outcome of this week’s Federal Reserve meeting it is that it is highly uncertain, with just under half of US economists predicting that rates will rise this week (chart 1), […]

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Mario Draghi: Talking the talk…

The euro is like a bumblebee. This is a mystery of nature because it shouldn’t fly but instead it does…   Mario DraghiECB PresidentJuly 2012   In July 2012, European capital markets were in chaos. Ten year sovereign bond yields […]

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Volatility Begets Volatility

    Large changes tend to be followed by large changes, of either sign, and small changes tend to be followed by small changes…   Benoit MandelbrotThe Variation of Certain Speculative PricesThe Journal of Business, 1963   You could be […]

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Beware the Ides of August…

The month of August has been a dangerous month for financial markets since the onset of the Global Financial Crisis. August 2007 marked the start of the ‘Credit Crunch’, as BNP Paribas suspended three investment funds, citing a ‘complete evaporation […]

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A Note on China…and the Dollar

    A new billboard in Bangkok advertises the growing importance of the Chinese currency for international financial markets…   By: Kevin Lester   China dominated the foreign exchange market last week, when the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) devalued […]

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Sterling and UK Interest Rates: A fragile equilibrium

             Let’s go back to July, 2007.  In the United States, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has broken the 14,000 level for the first time, setting a new record high.  Here in London, the FTSE […]

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To Fix or Not to Fix

With ‘Super Thursday’ looming in the UK, and a possible US rate hike being mooted for next month,  we look at whether now is a good time to for companies to consider protecting themselves from rising interest rates. The answer […]

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A closer look at our GBPEUR forecast.

  Of the 79 contributors to the Bloomberg FX poll, Validus Risk Management’s GBPEUR forecast (1.25 by the end of Q1 2016) is the most bearish.  In second place, for those who may be interested, is Bayerische Landesbank in Munich, […]

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Central Bank Zugzwang

  “I expect that it will be appropriate at some point later this year to take the first step to raise the federal funds rate and thus begin normalizing monetary policy.” Janet Yellen Federal Reserve Chair July 10, 2015   […]

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Politics 1: Economics 0

The Greek crisis edges towards a ‘resolution’ as geopolitics trumps economic reality…     “The German finance minister seriously wants to push Greece out of the euro; the German chancellor, on the other hand, is very anxious to find a […]

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FX Hedging:

10 Common Pitfalls


Commodity & FX Risk:

An Integrated Approach


The Corporate Use of Credit Derivatives:

Where Next?


Corporate Hedger’s Guide to Basel III


Currency Volatility – Are markets nearing an inflection point?



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Mark Goldby, Finance Director, SMS Electronics Ltd.


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