news archive

Sterling and UK Interest Rates: A fragile equilibrium

             Let’s go back to July, 2007.  In the United States, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has broken the 14,000 level for the first time, setting a new record high.  Here in London, the FTSE […]

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To Fix or Not to Fix

With ‘Super Thursday’ looming in the UK, and a possible US rate hike being mooted for next month,  we look at whether now is a good time to for companies to consider protecting themselves from rising interest rates. The answer […]

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A closer look at our GBPEUR forecast.

  Of the 79 contributors to the Bloomberg FX poll, Validus Risk Management’s GBPEUR forecast (1.25 by the end of Q1 2016) is the most bearish.  In second place, for those who may be interested, is Bayerische Landesbank in Munich, […]

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Central Bank Zugzwang

  “I expect that it will be appropriate at some point later this year to take the first step to raise the federal funds rate and thus begin normalizing monetary policy.” Janet Yellen Federal Reserve Chair July 10, 2015   […]

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Politics 1: Economics 0

The Greek crisis edges towards a ‘resolution’ as geopolitics trumps economic reality…     “The German finance minister seriously wants to push Greece out of the euro; the German chancellor, on the other hand, is very anxious to find a […]

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Greek people can stay irrational longer than Greece can stay solvent

Despite  80% of Greeks wishing to stay in Eurozone, 61% voted against the bailout package. Are Greek people being irrational, or should we just discard the polls completely after Italy in 2013 and Britain in 2015[2]? At closer inspection, there […]

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Whatever it Takes

The newspaper headlines over the weekend have left many with the impression that a Grexit is imminent. Indeed, after all the ‘hints’ in recent weeks: the IMF saying that a Grexit is a possibility (28 May), Cameron preparing plans for […]

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The (FX) Theory of Relativity

“Despite the soft first quarter, the fundamentals underlying household spending appear favorable and consumer sentiment remains solid. Looking ahead, the Committee still expects a moderate pace of GDP growth, with continuing job gains and lower energy prices supporting household spending.” […]

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Another Greek Tragedy?

  Photograph taken by Validus account executive Andriana Goudis at a Greek restaurant in Bristol (UK)   “Over two decades we destroyed our production capacity and industry.  In the first decade of this century, after entry into the EMU, we […]

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Will the Fed raise rates this year?

“The soundness of a central bank varies inversely with the breadth of its mandate.  The more it’s expected to do, the longer the odds against success.  The Fed’s mandate is all-encompassing.  Roughly speaking, it is expected to deliver the earth […]

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FX Hedging:

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An Integrated Approach


The Corporate Use of Credit Derivatives:

Where Next?


Corporate Hedger’s Guide to Basel III


Currency Volatility – Are markets nearing an inflection point?



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Mark Goldby, Finance Director, SMS Electronics Ltd.


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