news archive

This week we take a closer look at how expectations for relative monetary policy are keeping the dollar firm against its peers

After a relatively quiet start to last week, the People’s Bank of China grabbed the headlines on Friday by announcing a surprise 40 basis point cut to its benchmark lending rate. The move comes after the world’s second largest economy […]

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Is this the most important chart in the world?

“The chart of the US dollar is by far and away the most important chart on earth.  If we break the trend line we will be entering potentially one of the biggest dollar bull markets in decades, if not ever.  […]

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Our Inaugural ‘Alpha & Ammo’ Shooting Event

Our inaugural ‘Alpha & Ammo’ shooting event last month was a great success, with senior representatives attending from the entire Alternative Investment spectrum (Private Equity, Secondaries, Private Debt, and Real Estate). Bringing together our clients in an informal setting whilst adding a bit of adrenaline and competition proved to be highly enjoyable for everyone involved and so next year’s follow up is already in the planning stage.

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Third time lucky?

The US Federal Reserve ended its quantitative easing programme last week, after six years, three ‘rounds’, and almost four trillion dollars. So is this really the end of quantitative easing, and what could this mean for the FX market?

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What will happen in the currency markets if we see another downturn in equities?

Looking back, the plunge in equity markets two weeks ago now seems a distant memory. After falling 7.5% in just five days, last week saw the move in the S&P 500 entirely retraced closing Friday’s session at 1,964. While European […]

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Halloween comes early for the financial markets

Last weeks’ shake up in the financial markets was dramatic, to say the least. All the ingredients for the storm have been lingering in the background for months (in some cases years) – overvalued stock markets, concerns over growth in […]

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A closer look at the ‘euroglut’

Deutsche Bank’s recent prediction of a 25% decline in the value of the euro over the next two to three years is based upon the theory that the ‘Euroglut’, the excessive amount of European savings generated by Europe’s large current account surplus, will lead to “the largest capital outflows in the history of financial markets”. We look at three potential problems with this prognosis…

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US employment report– Appearances can be deceiving

Last week we had a big flow of positive US data. The headline US unemployment rate has decreased from the previous 6.1% to 5.9%, with a change in non-farm payroll adding 33k more jobs than expected, almost doubling the August […]

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Divergences, convergences and GBPEUR

Divergence has become a frequently discussed topic in the FX markets in 2014. Whether we talk about the diverging recovery among the EU countries, global monetary policy or diverging current account balances in the UK and the EU. This report outlines three key divergences that are likely reshape the FX landscape and, in our view could push sterling lower in the next year.

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Scotland and the Pound

As the Scottish referendum on independence draws nearer, the near term outlook for the pound remains cloudy. With the polls tightening, and considering the financial market’s well known fear of the unknown, the risk of a serious devaluation in the pound this week cannot be ignored.

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