news archive


Has the dollar reached a turning point?

Regular readers will be all too well aware that we have been questioning the market’s expectations on the timing of the Fed’s first interest rate hike in recent months. This is looking increasingly justified with futures markets now pricing in […]



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The UK Election and Sterling – Do the markets care who wins?

On Thursday, the British electorate go to the polls in one of the most uncertain elections in recent history (by the way, for those readers eligible to vote in the UK but still undecided, there is an app for that…), […]



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Has the USD Peaked?

In recent weeks, the USD uptrend has faltered.  EURUSD’s seemingly relentless push to parity has stalled, GBPUSD has pushed back above the psychological 1.50 level, and USDCAD appears to have failed in its rally towards 1.30.  As such, it is […]



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Grexit: Challenges and Issues

Following the launch of the ECB’s QE programme in March, we have seen the euro weakening against its major peers. Since then, as economic sentiment has started to improve, the euro has resisted the downward pressure and remained above parity […]



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Dollar holds firm despite weaker than expected payrolls

The Easter mood was dampened by the worse than expected US jobs data. Although the headline unemployment figure remained in line with expectations of 5.5%, non-farm payrolls fell significantly short of expectations coming in at 126k (previous 295k, expected 248k). […]



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Is the euro primed for another leg lower?

After reaching a 12 year low at 1.0458 earlier this month, EUR/USD bounced back to test briefly above 1.10 last week, alleviating some of the downward pressure in the short term at least. However, having failed to sustain a move […]



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FOMC: Attempt to suppress volatility while hinting at delay in rate hike

Looking at the FX markets today, with the dollar more or less unchanged, the FOMC meeting last week wasn’t as big of a big game changer at it may have appeared at first glance. Market expectations were partially fulfilled: the […]



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FOMC meeting shaping the direction of the currency markets

The developments in the currency markets over the past weeks with intra-day jumps of 2-3 cents have reminded everyone how stressful currency volatility can be. With GBPUSD consolidating below 1.50 and GBPEUR rallying higher on the euro weakness, both pairs […]



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A closer look at the GBPUSD rally

Since last summer when GBPUSD reached its highest level in almost six years at 1.7192, the pound has come under heavy pressure against a resurgent dollar. By the beginning of 2015, GBP/USD had fallen as low as 1.4950 after six […]



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Federal Open Market Committee Minutes

Slowly approaching into March the US rate increase expectations are melting along with the winter snow. The release of January FOMC Minutes has divided the audience with regards to the timing of the next rate hike, however the prevailing consensus […]



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