news archive

Is the Single Market overrated?

Over the last two weeks, Sterling has experienced its biggest rally against the dollar since 2008, rising 5.7% over the course of ten days, followed by a 1.3% fall to the current 1.2540 level. This appreciation was driven by the […]

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Is the tide beginning to turn for EUR/USD?

Over the past three months, our strongest conviction in the currency markets has been that the euro would remain under pressure going into 2017. The rationale was twofold:       1. Widening Interest Rate Differentials – ECB was widely […]

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China Currency Basket: Little Red Riding Hood, or the Big Bad Wolf?

China rung in the new year by adjusting the weightings in their currency basket, and adding an additional 11 currencies into the mix.  The numbers of currencies in the basket has risen from 13 to 24.  The biggest impacts from […]

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What can we expect from 2017?

As promised in last week’s report, this week we look ahead and discuss the major themes likely to impact currency markets for the year ahead. A new US President, a rapidly changing political landscape in Europe and diverging monetary policy […]

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A look back at 2016

Twelve months ago, the UK referendum on EU membership was a big focal point, but a date hadn’t even been called, the probability of a Trump presidency was so small that is was simply written off as a publicity stunt […]

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The Fed’s Christmas gift

Last Wednesday The US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25bp.  Considering this was priced into the market with 100% certainty, nobody was surprised by the move.  However, what did move markets was the hawkish tone from Fed chair Janet […]

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Draghi Does it Again

Demonstrating his great ability to reveal as little as possible about the ECB’s plans to the market (see our October article on this here), Draghi has done it again. We all know that quantitative easing can’t last forever and that […]

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The Euro: ‘Go up or Blow up’

“In Italian politics, no one ever wins” Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi December 5th, 2016   Yesterday’s voter rebellion in Italy, which has resulted in the immediate resignation of Prime Minister Matteo Renzi, confirms that the euro is caught between […]

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Rising inflation to trigger a re-think for the Bank of England

As we look ahead at 2017, the Bank of England will face a dilemma over monetary policy. On one hand, the Bank will want to maintain its accommodative stance so not to risk unsettling nervous consumers in the wake of […]

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Fears rise as the Italian referendum approaches

With the Brexit and US Presidential Election votes now behind us, the market focus now shifts to the Italian Referendum on Constitutional Reform.  Voters will be asked whether they approve of amending the Italian Constitution to reform the appointment and […]

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